The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was originally developed in 2000 to predict 3-month mortality in patients undergoing TIPS (transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunting) procedures, then validated as a superior predictor of waitlist mortality compared to the Child-Pugh score. UNOS adopted MELD for organ allocation in 2002, replacing the Child-Pugh/MELD hybrid system. The score uses three objective laboratory variables: serum bilirubin, international normalised ratio (INR), and serum creatinine — all reflecting different aspects of hepatic and renal function. MELD-Na (incorporating sodium) was adopted by UNOS in 2016 as it better predicts 90-day waitlist mortality.
The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score was originally developed in 2000 to predict 3-month mortality in patients undergoing TIPS (transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunting) procedures, then validated as a superior predictor of waitlist mortality compared to the Child-Pugh score. UNOS adopted MELD for organ allocation in 2002, replacing the Child-Pugh/MELD hybrid system. The score uses three objective laboratory variables: serum bilirubin, international normalised ratio (INR), and serum creatinine — all reflecting different aspects of hepatic and renal function. MELD-Na (incorporating sodium) was adopted by UNOS in 2016 as it better predicts 90-day waitlist mortality.
Validated In
Original validation in 231 patients undergoing TIPS; subsequently validated in 6,000+ UNOS waitlist patients
Patrick S. Kamath and colleagues at the Mayo Clinic (2000)
Serum Creatinine
Reflects hepatorenal syndrome and cardiorenal interactions; max value capped at 4.0 mg/dL
Serum Bilirubin
Marker of hepatocellular function and biliary secretory capacity
INR (PT-INR)
Marker of hepatic synthetic function (coagulation factor production)
MELD Formula
9.57 × ln(Cr) + 3.78 × ln(Bili) + 11.20 × ln(INR) + 6.43
MELD-Na Addition
MELD + 1.32 × (137 − Na) − [0.033 × MELD × (137 − Na)]
Score Interpretation
<10 = low priority | 10-19 = moderate | 20-29 = significant | ≥30 = critical
MELD <9: 3-month mortality approximately 1.9%. Outpatient management with regular monitoring acceptable.
MELD ≥15: Transplant listing benefits outweigh risks — this is the UNOS threshold for liver transplant listing consideration.
MELD ≥25: Actively prioritised on transplant waitlist. 3-month mortality ~20-25%.
MELD ≥40: 3-month mortality approaches 70% without transplant. Urgent allocation priority.
MELD-Na is more accurate for waitlist mortality prediction — always calculate if sodium available.
Dialysis patients: creatinine is capped at 4.0 and automatically assigned 4.0 if on dialysis twice in the preceding week.
MELD does not capture portal hypertension complications (ascites, encephalopathy, variceal haemorrhage) — always use alongside clinical assessment.
Kamath PS, et al. A model to predict survival in patients with end-stage liver disease. Hepatology. 2001;33(2):464-470.
Kim WR, et al. Hyponatremia and Mortality among Patients on the Liver-Transplant Waiting List. N Engl J Med. 2008;359(10):1018-1026.
AASLD/EASL Practice Guideline: Management of hepatocellular carcinoma. Hepatology. 2018;68(2):723-750.